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[Historical Analysis of Exploit Availability Timelines](https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.5555/3485754.3485760) presents a method for searching the GitHub repositories of open-source exploit databases.
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This method could be employed to gather information about whether *PoC* is true.
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@@ -12,3 +12,5 @@ At a minimum, understanding mission impact should include gathering information
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There are various sources of guidance on how to gather this information; see for example the FEMA guidance in [Continuity Directive 2](https://www.fema.gov/sites/default/files/2020-07/Federal_Continuity_Directive-2_June132017.pdf) or [OCTAVE FORTE](https://insights.sei.cmu.edu/insider-threat/2018/06/octave-forte-and-fair-connect-cyber-risk-practitioners-with-the-boardroom.html).
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This is part of risk management more broadly.
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It should require the vulnerability management team to interact with more senior management to understand mission priorities and other aspects of risk mitigation.
*System Exposure* is primarily used by [Deployers](../../deployer_tree), so the question is about whether some specific system is in fact exposed, not a hypothetical or aggregate question about systems of that type.
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Therefore, it generally has a concrete answer, even though it may vary from vulnerable component to vulnerable component, based on their respective configurations.
The intent of this measure is the present state of exploitation of the vulnerability. The intent is not to predict future exploitation but only to acknowledge the current state of affairs. Predictive systems, such as EPSS, could be used to augment this decision or to notify stakeholders of likely changes [@jacobs2021epss].
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